I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Central Connecticut

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Ally Sentance	So	5-09	18.9	3.6	2.7	1.3	Central Connecticut
Alonna Sellers	So	6-00	16.8	6.8	4.7	0.2	Central Connecticut
Amaya Williams	Jr	5-05	26.7	7.1	1.9	1.7	Central Connecticut
Belle Lanpher	Jr	5-05	34.6	12.1	2.9	2.9	Central Connecticut
Ciera Pearson	So	5-08	16.6	1.7	2.3	0.8	Central Connecticut
Emma Bruen	Jr	5-07	16.9	2.0	2.3	0.8	Central Connecticut
Kayla Henry	Fr	6-00	11.0	1.7	1.8	0.3	Central Connecticut
Livvy Pizzitola	Jr	5-05	3.0	0.3	0.1	0.1	Central Connecticut
Samora Watson	So	5-06	32.8	16.4	5.5	2.4	Central Connecticut