I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaisha Brown | Fr | 5-10 | 10.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | Denver |
Angelina Robles | So | 5-04 | 27.5 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | Denver |
Emari Doby | Fr | 5-10 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | Denver |
Emma Smith | So | 5-08 | 35.5 | 12.7 | 4.4 | 3.5 | Denver |
Joclyen Wyatt | Jr | 5-08 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | Denver |
Jojo Jones | So | 5-11 | 32.1 | 14.8 | 6.8 | 2.9 | Denver |
Laila McLeod | So | 6-00 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | Denver |
Lauren With | Jr | 6-02 | 14.5 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.3 | Denver |
Madelyn Atkins | So | 5-08 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Denver |
Mary Wilson | Jr | 5-10 | 10.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | Denver |
Reagan Pahl | Fr | 5-06 | 10.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | Denver |
Shira Hagag | So | 5-11 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | Denver |