I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrien LaMora | So | 5-11 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | Eastern Michigan |
Athina Lexa | Jr | 5-09 | 28.2 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 1.8 | Eastern Michigan |
Brooklyn Thrash | So | 6-00 | 22.3 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.6 | Eastern Michigan |
Dara Capaldi | So | 5-09 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | Eastern Michigan |
Kyndal Lewis | Jr | 5-08 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | Eastern Michigan |
Lachelle Austin | Jr | 5-07 | 28.5 | 9.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | Eastern Michigan |
Meghan Gentile | Fr | 5-09 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Eastern Michigan |
Nia Boston | Jr | 6-00 | 11.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | Eastern Michigan |
Olivia Smith | So | 5-05 | 28.2 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | Eastern Michigan |
Olivia Westphal | So | 5-09 | 16.4 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | Eastern Michigan |
Sisi Eleko | So | 6-02 | 29.9 | 15.9 | 10.6 | 1.2 | Eastern Michigan |
Sophie Canen | Fr | — | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | Eastern Michigan |
Tayra Eke | Jr | 6-03 | 26.6 | 9.5 | 7.3 | 1.1 | Eastern Michigan |
Treasure Thompson | Jr | 6-02 | 17.5 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 0.8 | Eastern Michigan |
Zaniya Nelson | Jr | 5-11 | 22.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 0.7 | Eastern Michigan |