I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Evie Van Der Woude | Fr | 6-05 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | Florida Atlantic |
Kayana Armbrister | Fr | 6-00 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | Florida Atlantic |
Kristina Godfrey | Fr | 5-10 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Florida Atlantic |
Maria Myklebust | Jr | 6-01 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | Florida Atlantic |
Mya Perry | So | 5-09 | 27.9 | 11.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | Florida Atlantic |