I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Georgia Southern

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Amoni Byrd	So	5-09	7.0	1.4	0.8	0.3	Georgia Southern
Bukky Akinsola	Jr	5-06	13.5	5.0	1.8	1.3	Georgia Southern
Indya Green	Jr	5-11	25.5	10.2	6.8	1.3	Georgia Southern
Kanija Daniel	Fr	5-10	6.5	1.2	1.2	0.8	Georgia Southern
Kayla Thomas	Jr	6-03	14.8	5.3	3.8	0.4	Georgia Southern
Liv Fuller	Fr	5-10	7.9	1.1	2.3	0.6	Georgia Southern
McKenna Eddings	Jr	6-00	13.0	6.0	4.0	0.0	Georgia Southern
Paris Gaines	Fr	6-03	5.3	1.8	1.7	0.1	Georgia Southern
Paris Miller	So	5-10	9.6	2.5	1.0	0.6	Georgia Southern
Torrion Starks	Jr	5-08	15.3	6.0	2.5	1.8	Georgia Southern
Zaria Johnson	Jr	6-01	10.6	4.1	2.0	0.7	Georgia Southern