I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Harvard

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Abigail Wright	Fr	6-01	17.6	6.7	3.5	0.6	Harvard
Elena Rodriguez	Jr	6-02	27.0	10.3	6.8	3.3	Harvard
Elle Stauffer	Jr	5-11	6.4	0.5	1.4	0.2	Harvard
Gabby Anderson	So	5-11	20.1	3.4	4.3	1.0	Harvard
Harmoni Turner	Jr	5-10	32.9	19.3	6.2	4.3	Harvard
Karlee White	Fr	5-09	19.1	3.9	2.6	1.4	Harvard
Katie Krupa	So	6-01	28.1	11.3	2.8	1.8	Harvard
Mary Hollensteiner	Fr	6-01	7.1	2.6	0.6	0.1	Harvard
Mona Zaric	Jr	6-02	9.8	2.0	1.7	0.8	Harvard
Saniyah Glenn	So	6-00	26.8	5.3	4.3	1.4	Harvard