I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Hofstra

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Alarice Gooden	So	5-07	7.1	3.3	0.9	0.4	Hofstra
Emma Von Essen	So	5-09	27.0	11.6	3.0	1.1	Hofstra
Kassidy Thompson	Fr	5-10	9.1	1.9	2.1	0.4	Hofstra
Kayley Joseph-Bernard	So	6-00	8.8	1.6	2.2	0.8	Hofstra
Micaela Carter	Fr	5-06	14.2	2.2	1.2	1.0	Hofstra
Onna Brown	Fr	5-11	5.4	1.7	0.5	0.2	Hofstra
Tionna Baker	Jr	5-06	14.0	3.5	3.3	0.6	Hofstra