I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Indiana

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Henna Sandvik	So	6-00	6.2	0.9	0.7	0.5	Indiana
Julianna LaMendola	Fr	6-01	9.1	1.8	1.9	0.7	Indiana
Karoline Striplin	Jr	6-03	14.0	7.2	3.2	0.7	Indiana
Lenée Beaumont	Fr	6-01	9.1	3.0	0.7	0.5	Indiana
Lexus Bargesser	So	5-09	21.1	4.2	2.7	2.8	Indiana
Lilly Meister	So	6-03	10.1	3.7	2.7	0.2	Indiana
Sharnecce Currie-Jelks	So	6-02	2.3	0.7	0.3	0.0	Indiana
Shay Ciezki	So	5-07	24.7	11.5	2.1	2.4	Indiana
Yarden Garzon	So	6-03	29.0	11.7	4.4	3.1	Indiana