I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia Barclay | Jr | 6-00 | 14.5 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.8 | Jacksonville State |
| Bre'Anna Rhodes | Jr | 6-00 | 19.7 | 8.1 | 4.6 | 0.5 | Jacksonville State |
| Brooklyn McDaniel | So | 5-11 | 16.6 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 | Jacksonville State |
| Eden Sample | So | 5-10 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | Jacksonville State |
| Elsie Harris | Jr | 5-05 | 16.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | Jacksonville State |
| Kristol Ayson | Jr | 5-07 | 25.6 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 1.7 | Jacksonville State |
| Mya Barnes | Jr | 6-00 | 18.8 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 0.3 | Jacksonville State |
| Rachel Johnson | Jr | 5-08 | 21.0 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | Jacksonville State |
| Samiya Steele | So | 5-08 | 15.5 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | Jacksonville State |
| Shaquice May | Jr | 5-10 | 12.7 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | Jacksonville State |
| Valentina Saric | So | 6-02 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 | Jacksonville State |