I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

LSU

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Aalyah Del Rosario	Fr	6-06	10.7	4.7	3.5	0.2	LSU
Amani Bartlett	Jr	6-03	4.0	0.8	1.1	0.0	LSU
Aneesah Morrow	So	6-01	32.3	16.4	9.9	1.7	LSU
Angelica Velez	Fr	5-07	4.4	1.2	0.6	0.6	LSU
Flau'jae Johnson	So	5-10	31.9	14.9	5.5	2.5	LSU
Izzy Besselman	So	5-10	1.6	0.3	0.4	0.0	LSU
Kailyn Gilbert	So	5-08	27.6	15.1	5.3	2.3	LSU
Mikaylah Williams	Fr	6-00	31.5	14.5	4.9	2.9	LSU
Mjracle Sheppard	Fr	5-10	17.4	5.0	2.6	2.1	LSU
Sa'Myah Smith	So	6-02	22.6	11.7	7.6	0.9	LSU
Shayeann Day-Wilson	Jr	5-06	29.5	11.9	2.7	3.5	LSU