I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Antognoli | Jr | 5-07 | 36.1 | 12.0 | 3.6 | 3.1 | Lafayette |
| Brynn Beffert | Fr | 6-01 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | Lafayette |
| Emma Shields | So | 6-03 | 15.9 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 0.9 | Lafayette |
| Grace Montgomery | Fr | 5-09 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | Lafayette |
| Halee Smith | Jr | 5-10 | 28.7 | 8.1 | 4.3 | 1.6 | Lafayette |
| Kay Donahue | So | 5-10 | 16.6 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | Lafayette |
| Kylie Favours | Jr | 5-09 | 16.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | Lafayette |
| Mingaile Urmuleviciute | So | 6-03 | 16.0 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 0.4 | Lafayette |
| Rosie Scognamiglio | Fr | 5-10 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Lafayette |
| Sauda Ntaconayigize | So | 5-11 | 23.0 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | Lafayette |
| Tasha Chudy | Fr | 6-02 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | Lafayette |
| Teresa Kiewiet | Fr | 5-10 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | Lafayette |