I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Lehigh

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Colleen McQuillen	Jr	5-10	28.2	8.9	3.1	3.7	Lehigh
Ella Stemmer	Jr	5-10	28.6	13.6	3.2	1.6	Lehigh
Gracyn Lovette	Fr	5-10	13.3	2.3	1.4	0.7	Lehigh
Jessie Ozzauto	Fr	5-10	7.5	1.3	0.9	0.5	Lehigh
Kamara St. Paul	So	5-09	2.0	0.7	0.3	0.0	Lehigh
Katie Hurt	So	5-11	2.0	0.4	0.3	0.0	Lehigh
Kaylee Van Eps	Jr	6-00	9.1	1.5	0.7	0.8	Lehigh
Lily Fandre	So	6-01	27.7	11.8	5.6	2.1	Lehigh
Meghan O'Brien	Jr	6-01	29.1	9.1	5.8	2.0	Lehigh
Remi Sisselman	Jr	6-00	20.8	6.8	3.4	1.7	Lehigh
Whitney Lind	Fr	6-02	12.6	4.5	2.7	0.7	Lehigh