I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrianna Smith | Jr | 6-00 | 33.4 | 16.4 | 10.8 | 4.7 | Maine |
| Aislinn Gibson | Fr | 6-02 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | Maine |
| Anna Soler | Jr | 5-08 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | Maine |
| Caroline Dotsey | Fr | 6-02 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | Maine |
| Emmie Streams | Fr | 5-04 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | Maine |
| Idan Shlush | Jr | 5-08 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | Maine |
| Jaycie Christopher | So | 5-10 | 12.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | Maine |
| Milana Nenadic | So | 6-03 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | Maine |
| Paula Gallego | Jr | 6-00 | 14.3 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | Maine |
| Sarah Talon | So | 5-10 | 20.4 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | Maine |
| Sera Hodgson | Jr | 6-00 | 13.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | Maine |