I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amiaya Morgan | Jr | 5-09 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | Maryland-Eastern Shore |
Amira Ofunniyin | Fr | 6-00 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.3 | Maryland-Eastern Shore |
Ashanti Lynch | So | 5-09 | 16.7 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | Maryland-Eastern Shore |
Aysia Hinton | Fr | 5-07 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | Maryland-Eastern Shore |
Dakieren Turner | So | 6-00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Maryland-Eastern Shore |
Ja'la Bannerman | So | 5-06 | 19.2 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | Maryland-Eastern Shore |
Lainey Allen | So | 6-02 | 18.2 | 5.1 | 5.8 | 0.2 | Maryland-Eastern Shore |
Lesley Thomas | Jr | 6-00 | 13.2 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.2 | Maryland-Eastern Shore |