I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alasia Smith | Jr | 5-10 | 28.1 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 1.7 | Memphis |
| Aliyah Green | Jr | 6-01 | 14.9 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 0.5 | Memphis |
| Ally Hollifield | Fr | 5-07 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | Memphis |
| Destyne Jackson | Jr | 5-07 | 15.1 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | Memphis |
| Elauna Eaton | Jr | 6-00 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | Memphis |
| Hannah Riddick | Jr | 6-01 | 16.6 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 0.2 | Memphis |
| Jana Sallman | Fr | 6-03 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | Memphis |
| Latazia Williamson | Fr | 6-01 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | Memphis |
| Layken Cox | So | 6-01 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | Memphis |
| Nikole Thomas | Fr | 5-07 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | Memphis |
| Quinzia Fulmore | Jr | 6-03 | 20.0 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 0.4 | Memphis |
| Raven Sims | Fr | 5-09 | 12.1 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | Memphis |