I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Merrimack

Player Class Height Avg Minutes Avg Points Avg Rebounds Avg Assists 2025 Team
Amaya Staton6-0124.211.26.80.6Merrimack
Antoinette Okoh5-113.00.51.00.0Merrimack
Ava Owens5-1018.11.82.30.9Merrimack
Cadence JohnsonFr6-0010.51.51.60.4Merrimack
Lydia Melashenko5-0713.23.12.00.5Merrimack
Madison RomanFr6-0017.35.05.71.3Merrimack
Molly Manion5-1111.81.51.30.6Merrimack
Paloma GarciaFr5-0621.16.44.11.4Merrimack
Rose CasoSo5-1015.04.42.40.7Merrimack
Tara MurrayFr5-112.00.00.00.0Merrimack
Thalia ShepardFr5-0920.38.54.40.8Merrimack