I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Morgan State

Player Class Height Avg Minutes Avg Points Avg Rebounds Avg Assists 2025 Team
Amari SmithFr—19.55.42.90.2Morgan State
Dakota AlstonFr—11.93.10.60.4Morgan State
Emily JonesJr5-1020.92.32.41.5Morgan State
Gabrielle JohnsonSo5-0821.76.12.01.6Morgan State
Jael ButlerSo6-0215.65.33.40.2Morgan State
Kaia PonderJr6-0015.24.73.10.5Morgan State
Laila FairJr6-0225.48.87.50.8Morgan State
Nakilah JohnsonJr5-114.51.20.30.1Morgan State
Tamaria RumphFr—22.66.32.22.0Morgan State