I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

New Mexico State

Player Class Height Avg Minutes Avg Points Avg Rebounds Avg Assists 2025 Team
Fanta GassamaJr6-0122.56.87.91.3New Mexico State
Femme MasudiJr6-0511.64.42.70.1New Mexico State
Imani WarrenFr5-105.32.31.30.1New Mexico State
Jaila HardingJr5-0828.39.32.50.9New Mexico State
Loes RozingJr5-1018.53.02.50.7New Mexico State
Lucia YenesSo6-009.83.52.10.4New Mexico State
Sabou GueyeJr5-0919.35.83.71.0New Mexico State
Sianny Sanchez-OliverJr5-0520.81.51.92.5New Mexico State
Sylena PetersonJr5-0720.05.72.52.4New Mexico State
Tylie JonesJr6-0019.27.33.20.6New Mexico State