I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Callins | 5-08 | 27.7 | 14.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | North Alabama | |
| Alyssa Clutter | 5-09 | 29.5 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 2.0 | North Alabama | |
| Cameron Jones | 6-02 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | North Alabama | |
| Chloe Siegel | Fr | 5-07 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | North Alabama |
| Emily Jones | 6-00 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | North Alabama | |
| Emma Kate Tittle | 5-07 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | North Alabama | |
| India Howard | 6-00 | 15.4 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 0.3 | North Alabama | |
| Katie Criswell | Fr | 5-10 | 22.3 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 | North Alabama |
| Olivia Jones | 5-10 | 9.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | North Alabama | |
| Rhema Pegues | 5-08 | 18.2 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 0.6 | North Alabama | |
| Ruth Balogun | Jr | 5-10 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | North Alabama |
| Sara Wohlgemuth | Jr | 5-04 | 21.5 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 4.1 | North Alabama |
| Veronaye Charlton | Fr | 5-04 | 22.3 | 9.5 | 3.7 | 2.9 | North Alabama |