I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Basye | So | 5-11 | 12.6 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | Northern Kentucky |
| Gabby Razzano | Fr | 6-02 | 9.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | Northern Kentucky |
| Kailee Davis | Jr | 5-02 | 29.0 | 10.2 | 2.7 | 2.9 | Northern Kentucky |
| Kalissa Lacy | Jr | 5-09 | 15.0 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | Northern Kentucky |
| Khamari Mitchell-Steen | Jr | 5-07 | 32.7 | 13.7 | 5.1 | 3.2 | Northern Kentucky |
| Macey Blevins | Jr | 5-10 | 30.2 | 12.9 | 4.1 | 2.5 | Northern Kentucky |
| Madison French | Fr | 5-11 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | Northern Kentucky |
| Meadow Tisdale | Fr | 5-11 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | Northern Kentucky |
| Mya Meredith | Jr | 5-11 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | Northern Kentucky |
| Noelle Hubert | Fr | 5-11 | 27.0 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | Northern Kentucky |
| Paige Hodgson | Jr | 6-04 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | Northern Kentucky |