I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Prairie View A&M

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Adreanna Waddle	Jr	6-02	15.3	6.2	4.4	0.0	Prairie View A&M
Amauri Williams	So	6-04	17.6	7.2	4.1	0.3	Prairie View A&M
Jaliyah Harper	Jr	5-11	6.0	1.0	2.0	0.0	Prairie View A&M
Jayda Bowen	So	5-07	12.8	1.2	1.4	1.4	Prairie View A&M
Kayla Smith	So	5-11	9.0	3.1	0.3	0.3	Prairie View A&M
LaFaedria Green	Jr	6-02	7.8	2.0	1.4	0.4	Prairie View A&M
Maya Williams	So	5-05	12.4	1.6	1.2	1.4	Prairie View A&M
Mia Monroe	Jr	5-06	4.1	2.4	0.3	0.1	Prairie View A&M
Nyam Thornton	Jr	5-07	19.0	3.7	1.9	1.7	Prairie View A&M