I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Koch | Jr | 5-10 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | Providence |
| Emily Archibald | Jr | 6-00 | 25.2 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 1.5 | Providence |
| Kammie Ludwig | So | 5-10 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | Providence |
| Kendall Eddy | Fr | 5-07 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | Providence |
| Kylee Sheppard | Jr | 5-09 | 30.2 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | Providence |
| Marta Morales | Jr | 6-01 | 25.5 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 2.2 | Providence |
| Nariah Scott | Jr | 5-10 | 16.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | Providence |
| Olivia Olsen | Jr | 6-03 | 27.8 | 13.7 | 8.5 | 1.1 | Providence |
| Sarah Bandoma | Jr | 6-03 | 10.8 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.2 | Providence |
| Sophi Hall | Fr | 6-01 | 7.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | Providence |
| Ugne Sirtautaite | Fr | 6-01 | 9.6 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | Providence |