I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

San Diego State

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Alyssa Jackson	Fr	5-11	13.8	2.3	1.7	0.7	San Diego State
Ellie Chen	Fr	5-05	2.8	0.0	0.2	0.4	San Diego State
Khylee-Jade Pepe	Jr	5-11	15.8	4.2	2.7	0.8	San Diego State
Mia Davis	Fr	6-00	11.2	3.7	1.8	0.7	San Diego State
Natalija Grizelj	So	5-09	2.8	0.7	0.2	0.2	San Diego State
Veronica Sheffey	So	5-09	29.4	12.2	3.2	5.1	San Diego State