I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabellah Middleton | Jr | 5-09 | 30.0 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 1.1 | St. Bonaventure |
| Kirah Dandridge | So | 5-10 | 25.9 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | St. Bonaventure |
| Tamar voor de Poort | So | 6-00 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | St. Bonaventure |
| Taylor Napper | Jr | 6-00 | 22.8 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | St. Bonaventure |