I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

St. Francis (PA)

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Brigid Scanlon	Fr	5-08	2.4	0.2	0.3	0.3	St. Francis (PA)
Destini Ward	So	5-08	27.2	11.0	4.1	1.2	St. Francis (PA)
Fanta Daffe	Jr	5-10	6.5	0.7	1.1	0.1	St. Francis (PA)
Harris Robinson	Jr	5-08	22.9	3.9	4.2	0.8	St. Francis (PA)
Julianna Gibson	So	6-02	25.6	5.0	5.0	0.5	St. Francis (PA)
Kameryn Dorsey	Fr	5-06	24.0	3.5	3.6	3.2	St. Francis (PA)
Kendall Carruthers	Fr	5-07	29.8	14.2	3.5	2.2	St. Francis (PA)
Marina Artero	Fr	5-11	24.4	3.9	5.4	0.6	St. Francis (PA)
Marissa Shelton	So	5-08	14.8	3.8	1.4	0.2	St. Francis (PA)
Yanessa Boyd	Fr	5-09	24.9	7.2	3.2	1.0	St. Francis (PA)