I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amber Scalia | So | 5-09 | 32.8 | 16.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Emma Miller | Fr | 6-00 | 7.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Faith Feuerbach | So | 6-00 | 11.8 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Gabby Johnson | Jr | 5-08 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Jade Hill | Jr | 5-07 | 34.9 | 13.2 | 3.2 | 4.3 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Jo Langbehn | Jr | 6-02 | 24.2 | 12.4 | 5.3 | 1.2 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Jordyn Lamker | Jr | 6-00 | 15.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Lizzie Steingraber | Fr | 5-09 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Natalie Greenwood | So | 6-03 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Phoebe Frentzel | Jr | 5-09 | 16.7 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Sammi Beyer | Fr | 5-06 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Sammy Opichka | Jr | 6-00 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |
| Zoey Washington | Fr | 5-08 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | St. Thomas-Minnesota |