I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Demetre | Jr | 6-03 | 20.5 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.5 | Stanford |
| Chloe Clardy | Fr | 5-09 | 9.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | Stanford |
| Courtney Ogden | Fr | 6-01 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | Stanford |
| Elena Bosgana | Jr | 6-02 | 17.5 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | Stanford |
| Jzaniya Harriel | Jr | 5-10 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | Stanford |
| Lauren Green | So | 5-08 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Stanford |
| Nunu Agara | Fr | 6-02 | 13.4 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 0.6 | Stanford |
| Stavi Papadaki | So | 5-11 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | Stanford |
| Talana Lepolo | So | 5-07 | 30.0 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 4.2 | Stanford |