I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Traylor | So | 5-08 | 31.2 | 16.0 | 6.1 | 2.4 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Atalia Ballesteros | Fr | 5-10 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Avery Vansickle | So | 5-10 | 17.1 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Ituau Tuisaula | Jr | 6-01 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Jasmyne Boles | Jr | 6-01 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Kyla Deck | So | 5-09 | 33.6 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Lydia CookeWiggins | Fr | 5-07 | 14.7 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Mimi Gatewood | So | 5-06 | 12.7 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Trinity Moore | Jr | 6-00 | 13.3 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 0.3 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Trinity Slocum | So | 5-09 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | Stephen F. Austin |
| Zoe Nelson | Jr | 6-02 | 24.0 | 7.8 | 7.3 | 1.7 | Stephen F. Austin |