I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Tennessee

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Alyssa Latham	Fr	6-02	27.0	8.6	7.0	0.7	Tennessee
Avery Strickland	So	5-10	4.2	0.9	0.8	0.3	Tennessee
Edie Darby	So	5-07	3.8	1.1	0.8	0.4	Tennessee
Jillian Hollingshead	Jr	6-05	17.1	4.6	4.5	1.1	Tennessee
Kaiya Wynn	Jr	6-00	13.0	4.4	2.6	1.6	Tennessee
Lazaria Spearman	So	6-04	18.1	6.3	5.9	0.5	Tennessee
Sara Puckett	Jr	6-02	26.8	9.8	4.9	1.5	Tennessee