I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Texas A&M

Player	Class	Height	Avg Minutes	Avg Points	Avg Rebounds	Avg Assists	2025 Team
Janae Kent	Fr	6-01	7.7	1.6	0.8	0.4	Texas A&M
Janiah Barker	So	6-04	26.0	12.2	7.6	1.4	Texas A&M
Kylie Marshall	Fr	5-11	3.3	0.9	0.8	0.3	Texas A&M
Solè Williams	Fr	5-09	12.3	5.0	1.1	0.8	Texas A&M
Sydney Bowles	So	6-00	14.5	3.5	2.0	0.9	Texas A&M
Tineya Hylton	Jr	5-07	14.1	4.1	1.9	1.7	Texas A&M
Vanessa Saidu	Fr	6-02	3.3	1.7	0.9	0.0	Texas A&M