I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Antoniette EmmaNnopu | So | 5-11 | 11.6 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 0.2 | UNC Greensboro |
Ayanna Khalfani | 5-11 | 29.2 | 11.0 | 6.9 | 3.5 | UNC Greensboro | |
Isys Grady | Jr | 5-11 | 29.2 | 8.5 | 4.2 | 1.8 | UNC Greensboro |
Jailah ClarkJones | Jr | 5-11 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | UNC Greensboro |
Jayde Gamble | Jr | 5-06 | 31.4 | 14.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 | UNC Greensboro |
Joelle Davis | Fr | 5-10 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | UNC Greensboro |
Kelly Boyle | Fr | 5-06 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | UNC Greensboro |
Kennedy Simpson | Jr | 6-02 | 14.4 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.3 | UNC Greensboro |
Makiah Asidanya | Fr | 5-07 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | UNC Greensboro |
Nasia Powell | Jr | 5-07 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | UNC Greensboro |
Nia Howard | Jr | 5-08 | 23.8 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | UNC Greensboro |
Nina Horvath | Fr | 5-08 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | UNC Greensboro |
Yacine N'Diaye | Fr | 6-04 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | UNC Greensboro |