I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it.
For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:
1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.
It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.
| Player | Class | Height | Avg Minutes | Avg Points | Avg Rebounds | Avg Assists | 2025 Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adela Valkova | Jr | 6-02 | 23.7 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 1.0 | UT Arlington |
| Alexsyah Goudeau | So | 5-10 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | UT Arlington |
| Aspen Thornton | Jr | 5-06 | 30.5 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | UT Arlington |
| Aubrey Reid | Fr | 5-11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | UT Arlington |
| Cassidee Kinslow | Jr | 6-00 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | UT Arlington |
| Gia Adams | Jr | 5-07 | 31.8 | 14.5 | 2.9 | 3.3 | UT Arlington |
| Hannah Humphrey | Jr | 5-08 | 12.7 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | UT Arlington |
| Jamaya Perry | Fr | 6-01 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | UT Arlington |
| Kali Haizlip | So | 5-09 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | UT Arlington |
| Laura Bello | Jr | 6-03 | 25.6 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 0.5 | UT Arlington |
| Miraya Perkins | Fr | 5-11 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | UT Arlington |
| Nya Threatt | So | 5-06 | 26.5 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 3.1 | UT Arlington |
| Taliyah Clark | Jr | 5-11 | 27.6 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 1.8 | UT Arlington |