I am working on a player-based projection system, similar to how Bart Torvik does it. For now, the main projections are team-based, with the main inputs being:

1. Reversion to conference mean.
2. Coaching change factor = a fired coach results in a positive benefit, a good coach hired away produces a negative one.
3. Generic increase in performance for remaining players on roster.

It's okay, and generally mirrors some of the early subjective predictions. But we can do better.

Vanderbilt

Player Class Height Avg Minutes Avg Points Avg Rebounds Avg Assists 2025 Team
Aga MakuratFr6-0213.53.81.50.6Vanderbilt
Aiyana MitchellFr6-043.11.00.60.0Vanderbilt
Iyana MooreJr5-0833.014.23.52.8Vanderbilt
Jada BrownSo5-085.60.70.40.3Vanderbilt
Justine PissottSo6-0420.76.82.20.8Vanderbilt
Khamil PierreFr6-0218.78.85.20.7Vanderbilt
Madison GreeneFr5-0619.36.91.51.2Vanderbilt
Ryanne AllenSo6-015.72.00.70.4Vanderbilt
Sacha WashingtonJr6-0228.912.08.01.4Vanderbilt